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Hot Spot Policing Reduces Crime in Real World Experiment

Today there is an abundance of theories about different strategies and tactics police departments can implement to reduce crime and save tax payer money. Unfortunately, like many theories, they can be difficult to measure, and prove – or disprove.

I recently came across an article in Dispatch called A Hot Spot Experiment: Sacramento Police Department that took the so-called Koper curve theory of hot spot policing, and put it to a real world test.

The Sacramento Police Department tested out the theory, which states that certain neighborhoods or locations will have an unequal distribution of crime when compared to other locations in the same area. The higher crime areas are called hot spots, and the theory says that when there is a visible police presence in these hot spots, crime will drop.

Hot Spot Map

The CommandCentral Heat Map shows density of crime by time per agency patrolling area.

The experiment outlined a ranking of Hot Spots, and two separate groups (Hot Spot Policing, and Routine Patrols) were assigned. Hot Spot Policing was defined as having police officers who are highly visible in the assigned Hot Spot for 12-16 minutes every two hours.

The Sacramento Police Department tested the theory over a three month period. Following are some of the findings of that real world study:

  • Crimes in areas that used Hot Spot Policing decreased by 25 percent
  • Officer productivity improved due to Hot Spot Policing
  • Hot Spot Policing lead to significant cost savings (almost $300,000 over the three month period)

So, while this is only one real world experiment that seemed to show benefits to implementing the Koper curve theory of hot spot policing, more research can be done. I also found it interesting to see how vitally important accurate crime data and statistics are to implementing a technique such as Hot Spot Policing. Accurate crime data allowed Sacramento PD to identify Hot Spots, and track the impact of its experiment. Ultimately it seems, having the ability to collect, track, and analyze crime data, leads to better knowledge, and thus better decision-making.

Congratulations to the Sacrament Police Department for using their data to implement Intelligence Led Policing systems that lower crime, and save money. To read more about this experiment, visit http://cops.usdoj.gov/html/dispatch/06-2012/hot-spots-and-sacramento-pd.asp

 

Intelligence Led Policing Yardsticks: Data Cleansing and Management

So let’s start piling in the data! Right?

Not just yet cowboy; pull back the reigns for just a minute. I know you’re anxious to get your Intelligence Led Policing initiative up and running, but don’t skip the most important step: making sure the data you are going to feed into your intelligence system isn’t garbage! We’ve all heard the term, “garbage in, garbage out.” Well, the data integration between an RMS/CAD system with an analytics solution is where that term really comes to life.  So many agencies I speak to have unwittingly made the mistake of pushing data into an intelligence system without vetting that data first.  What makes it worse is that most of these agencies won’t figure out that they pushed bad data into their system until they begin to get results from that system that doesn’t make sense.  Some of the most common results they will see as a result of bad data are:

  • Maps will be a mess
  • Multiple crime types getting bulked together (think murder, rape, theft, lumped together in an “other” category)
  • And generally, their numbers won’t jive with what they know to be true

So let’s talk about your data; I mean really talk about why it is so important to spend time on your existing data set to make sure that it is clean, standardized, and accurate.  Don’t assume that your data set is correct. It may be a difficult thing for you to do, but I want you to assume that you data set is “generally” correct, but needs verification before it is trusted.  As President Reagan said so often, “Trust, but verify”. Now don’t get me wrong, you can certainly use your existing data, as it sits, without verification, for your intelligence initiative.  You can pull intelligence from that un-vetted data set and distribute that intelligence throughout your department.  But, without verifying your data, your intelligence will be wrong.

Data verification is the key to good intelligence.

So how do you verify your data?  Here are a few areas to check in what I would consider the most common error categories, and steps to take to correct any mistakes you may find.

1.   Maps - Most commonly our mapping data, whether from GIS, Google, Lat/Long, or address, is far from perfect.  As a matter of my experience, I would say that maps are one of the most inaccurate, yet one of the most desired data sets for an agency.

crime map, crime mapping, crime reports

Crime map data comes from a variety of technologies.

Meaning, we all want good maps, but very few of us actually have such.

Why? – There are a multitude of reasons that our maps leave a lot to be desired, such as: inaccurate input from our officers and dispatch, duplicate addresses resulting from some unknown oddity in city planning, and GIS, Google and other mapping systems simply putting the map point in the wrong place. Very few of these, other than officer/dispatch mistake, are under our control.  This is what makes the mapping issue such a big problem, many of us just throw up our hands and exclaim, “it’s out of my control, so we’ll just have to live with it.”

Effect – By leaving bad mapping to its own devices, we are allowing our data to be tainted.  In essence, we are saying, we don’t really care about those crimes that are mapped incorrectly, we will just rely on the crimes that are mapped correctly.  Of course, this is false logic because, as we all know, especially Intelligence Led Policing  should be an “all crimes” approach.  With an “all crimes” approach, we know we are getting the entire picture. Without it, we are only getting a biased view.

Solution – The first step is training – make sure your officers and dispatchers are entering the addresses correctly.  After that is done, choose a software solution, such as the one I use, CommandCentral by PublicEngines, that allows you to identify incorrect mapping points and move them to their correct location.  I have seen many software solutions, records management systems included, that allow the user to see incorrect mapping points, but very few allow the user to move those bad points to where they really need to be.  CommandCentral, however, has gone one step further than just allowing you to identify and move your mapping points, it has streamlined that entire process down to just a few clicks of the mouse.  I am able to look at all of my crimes over a particular date range in the entire city, un-click my zone designations, and then click a tab called “outside” that shows all of my crimes that mapped outside of my zone designations.  I can utilize the administration tools to move mis-mapped crimes to their proper location.  A quick solution to a menacing problem.

2. Crime Types – Used widely by agencies to easily designate the difference between certain crimes, such as Burglary Residential and Burglary Commercial, these designations have quickly gotten out of hand in many jurisdictions.  What I mean by out of hand is that many agencies have found themselves with so many crime types, some have 400, 500, or more, that they have a hard time keeping the designations separate.

Why? –  Let’s face it, so many times it is much easier for an officer to pick Theft/Other than it is to find the exact designation that the crime demands, especially when there are so many options. Whats more is that in so many records management systems, in order to run a report on a parent crime type such as theft, you have to run multiple individual reports on each crime type designation within that parent theft designation.  And sometimes, an officer incorrectly categorizes a crime.  He may write a burglary report, when in actuality, it should have been a theft report.

Effect –  You find your data is scattered all over your records management system.  For instance, in order to run a report of the thefts in your jurisdiction, you have to go to multiple report tables, run multiple reports, and then you still have to compile, generally manually, all of those records into one document.

Solution –   Like Maps, the first step is training. Make sure you train your staff the proper way to designate each crime and more than that, make sure they know why it is so important to properly designate each crime.  The second step then is to revert back to your software solution to make this whole process easier for you.  I again refer to CommandCentral, it allows me to easily bulk my various crime types into easy-to-understand quick tabs.  Meaning then, that all of my various thefts are bulked into one tab simply called “Theft,” while still allowing me to just choose one type of theft and generate a report on it alone if needed. The system also allows me to bulk these crime types myself. That way, if I want to move a specific crime type to another category, I can do so with ease.

3. Numbers – Truly at the heart of the matter aren’t they?  The chief wants them, the city council wants them, even the FBI wants them. But if the data problems we spoke of earlier are not right, then your numbers are surely off as well.

Why? – There is a direct correlation between your numbers being off and the data supporting your numbers being off.  As go the earlier topics, so goes your numbers, and so on.

Effect – So many times we are in a rush to get the numbers out that we forget the correlation.  As a result of putting out bad numbers, we all look poorly to those we have created the report for. We are working with something the likes of a living organism, all parts must work together for all the parts to work correctly.

Solution – Begin by correcting all of the areas that you would get your numbers from, such as the areas we spoke of earlier. Please be diligent about this. You must understand that if your data sets are not correct, then there is no way your numbers, which come from those data sets, can be correct.

In closing, I want us to all remember an old saying some of us were taught in mandate    school: “The Fruits of the Poisonous Tree.” Use it as a guide for our Intelligence Led Policing.  If we use bad data (the poisonous tree) in our intelligence initiative, then the intelligence that we get out of that bad data (the fruit), is corrupt, misleading, and all around garbage. Your Intelligence Led Policing initiative lives and dies on the quality of the data you feed it. Feed it good, accurate data, and it will thrive, feed it fruits of the poisonous tree and it will wither and die.

 

 

Mapping Technology Delivers Powerful Information, Leads to Smarter Decisions

David Weisburd and Tom McEwen opened their groundbreaking 1997 paper, Mapping and Crime Prevention, with an interesting bit of trivia. The first known case of mapping occurred in London during a cholera outbreak in 1854. Dr. John Snow plotted the deaths on a map of the city and compared them to the locations of water pumps throughout the afflicted neighborhood. Through investigation, Dr. Snow was able to pinpoint the exact source of the cholera, and end the outbreak.

Original map made by John Snow in 1854. Cholera cases are highlighted in black.

 

Today mapping has evolved into a high-tech information motherlode. Applications on smart phones can find you the nearest Starbucks in a matter of seconds.  But for all the convenience these consumer-oriented maps offer, none is more important than those mapping crimes.

As a parent, the safety of my kids is my number one priority in making more decisions than I can count. It influences which houses I’ve bought, which schools they attend, sometimes even which restaurants we frequent or events we visit. I want to know my family will be safe.

Take for example, when we were looking at buying a new house.  After touring a home, looking in closets, measuring the space in bedrooms, and driving around the neighborhood, we’d always pull up the local crime mapping site when we got back to our place.

Some houses were dropped from our list within a few minutes after seeing the crimes report. Seeing a series of thefts within a few blocks of the house was a deal breaker for us.

But even more important to us was locating sex offenders in the area. One house we liked in a seemingly quiet neighborhood fell off our list immediately after we saw that a registered sex offender lived down the street.

Please don’t misunderstand, we believe in second chances for everyone after a person has paid his or her debt to society. But for us the risk of our children’s safety – even theoretically – far outweighed the house’s many attributes.

Having access to the knowledge of what crimes have occurred in near real-time is an incredible tool for everyone. And the more crimes that are mapped every year the more efficacious crime mapping becomes as a tool for overall community safety.

The engagement with local police departments mapping offers is an important added benefit. I’ve always been a firm believer that communities are safest when police and citizens work together.  Mapping provides transparency about the crimes in my area. It offers members of the community the opportunity to proactively help in solving and reducing crimes by offering police tips and helping citizens make informed decisions.

Most importantly, mapping gives me an incredibly valuable benefit: the knowledge to empower myself. It helps me make educated decisions to protect my family.

Right now, CrimeReports has 80-million crimes mapped. That’s a staggering number. It is also an empowering number. The more we know, the more we can react and help to bring those numbers down. It will be great day when we start seeing fewer and fewer crimes mapped, because it will mean our society is measurably safer. I think Dr. Snow would be very proud.

Trash that Dirty Crime Intel. Data Management Made Easy

 

Oscar the Grouch Won’t Stand For Inadequate Garbage, And Neither Should You Settle For Inadequate Data Management Systems

So you want to steer your agency towards Intelligence-Led Policing? The first thing you need to look at is your data set. Over and over again I see agencies hastily purchase mapping or other intelligence software, attempt to put it to immediately use, and then disagree with the output they receive. The common theme I often find when reviewing their data sets in these scenarios falls under the age-old category of old garbage in, garbage out.

So if you fall into the category I just described, you are by far not alone. As a matter of fact, I would venture to say that you are in the majority. I even made the same mistakes when I began our Intelligence-Led Policing initiative. I remember I was so excited to get going with CommandCentral that I never bothered to really analyze the data that I was putting into the system. After all, I had been using our records management system for 20 years, surely the data was correct – right? What I found was a resounding NO. It was not good data. Now don’t get me wrong, the basics of the data were correct – the type of crime, suspect, victim, things like that were solid. What was not so correct, however, was our mapping data and how our crime types translated into CommandCentral. Let’s camp out on those two topics and discuss a couple of things that you can do to turn your bad data into good data.

First Let’s Talk About Mapping

Very few mapping systems, whether you are using GIS or some other type of mapping system, are always spot on. The reasons for these inaccuracies vary widely. From inaccurate GIS mapping at the onset, to duplicate addresses in your city that are only separated by a North-South or East-West designation, or simply a data entry mistake.  Although I could not change these map points in my records management system, I could change them in CommandCentral. With just a few steps I was able to take my map, with an average of 150 inaccuracies a month, and turn it into a completely accurate crime map, with no inaccuracies.

Allow me to explain the process; in CommandCentral, you are able to look at one or all of your zones or beats using the “Area” tab.  Within the Area tab, there is a sub-tab called “Outside Area.” Here you can see all of your calls that populated outside of your agency’s physical boundary zones.  And since the system allows you to manage the details of each incident coming from your RMS, you can simply pull up the incident on a map, and with click and drag functionality, pull the the incident point to the appropriate geographical location. This process, which you will become very proficient at, will allow you to present your maps without excuses and mistakes.

Accurate Crime Types Make A BIG Difference

Now that we have fixed your mapping problem, let’s talk about making sure your crime types are in the proper categories in order for you to get the proper intel. Depending upon country, state, or locality, crime terms can vary widely. For instance in my state, we don’t use the term larceny, we use theft instead. We also don’t use the term embezzlement, but rather we use a variety of codes under fraud. While our records management systems seem to “do it all,” it is our duty to make sure that our information is laid out correctly with in our systems. In CommandCentral, there is a crime tab for “other;” this tab is used for information in a records management system that might not fit into a typical crime category. While this can be a useful tab, I more often than not observe other agencies use this for crimes such as robbery, shooting, and thefts, in the “other” category. Simply put, if the data is in the wrong category when you run a report on a specific crime type, you will be mis-reporting and presenting inaccurate information in your final report. Most importantly, you won’t be able to deliver an intelligence product that allows your command staff to make actionable decions in confidence.

This year let’s make sure to strengthen our intelligence by cleaning up our bad data. As always, if you have any specific questions or comments, or if you need deeper instruction on how to clean up your data sets, don’t hesitate to contact me at daniel.seals@publicengines.com.

Happy New Year – A Letter From the CEO

Looking Back on The Year That Was

This past year has seen a lot of change for PublicEngines and our products. CrimeReports, CommandCentral, and TipSoft all went through new product updates that made them better than ever. One deeply rewarding milestone for us was being recognized and ranked #297 on the Inc 500/5000 by Inc. Magazine as one of the fastest growing companies in the US.  This is an honor in which we deeply appreciate and recognize our customer’s and partner’s support for helping us get there.  To be mentioned within the list means that many more communities are safer now than even just the year before. And we’re working hard to continue that trend for 2013.

Around mid-year we launched a new Website - www.publicengines.com - full of information about our products, recent news articles, and testimonials that highlight how other customers are lowering crime in their jurisdictions. I invite you to come back often to sign up for our bi-monthly thought-leadership webinar series, read the blog, or watch a training video.

And finally, while we launched new and improved versions of each product, we also announced CityConnect, a customizable mobile application designed to help law enforcement agencies to better connect with the public. CityConnect was recently recognized by Law Officer Magazine in its annual Best of the Best New Products for 2012. We’re excited about giving citizens a single-source app where they can find any and all information made available from their local law enforcement agency – including  social media feeds, the agency website, blog, crime map, and tipping program.

Building Momentum That Lasts

Turning to 2013, we continue to focus on providing law enforcement agencies great products to help them better fulfill their mission of preventing, reducing, and solving crime.  A survey conducted in October indicated that the market is poised for new and improved analytics, reporting mechanisms, and greater administrative control within CommandCentral.  I’m pleased to inform you that we’ll deliver you these and many more new features in 2013. Our goal is to help crime analysts perform their jobs in a quicker and more efficient manner, as well as empower their officers with information that leads to better tactical planning; resulting in lower crime rates.

Our focus with CrimeReports is to build features that help citizens become more active in sharing information with their local law enforcement agency and their friends about crime in their area. It’s rooted in the belief that a more informed public is a safer public. Stay tuned to for product updates that make the site easier to navigate and more intuitive to use.

Of course, one of the biggest trends facing us all is the increasing use of smart phones.  They are seemingly in the hands of everyone.  That was the reason why we announced CityConnect as a mobile application last fall. So far, we’ve received tremendous interest in the product and will continue to invest further in mobile solutions that help law enforcement agencies take advantage of these increasingly important devices.

Finally, you will also see improvements to TipSoft – our anonymous tipping service – including direct integration to CityConnect and other capabilities to better receive and process anonymous information from the public. You’ll also see TipSoft make a big splash in the education environment as more and more school administrators adopt the platform as the premier anti-bullying solution.

Your Success Is What Drives Us

At PublicEngines, we measure our success based on our customers success. That’s why  we want to help law enforcement agencies and local governments be more productive, better engaged with their community, and able to do more even though they may have less budget and/or personnel than in years prior.  We strive to provide great products and exceptional client services. But we also know that there is always room for improvement.  I invite you to let us know what we can do to make you more successful. Whether you’re a customer with a feature suggestion or just curious about seeing our products in action, I encourage you to reach out to my team directly by calling 1-888-888 CRIME.

Cheers to Making 2013 a Safer World For Us All.

William Kilmer
Chief Executive Officer
PublicEngines